Football season has long been over – sorry XFL – and it doesn't start back up for months. March Madness is now a fading memory and the NBA playoffs have started but they are only playing like a game a week. So, what is a sports bettor to do during this sparse time?
Luckily, there is a great betting event that comes up the last weekend of April that real bettors know and love to wager on.
While most people probably don't think about the draft as a big-time gambling event, but it's grown as a betting opportunity in recent years. With the rise of online gambling of all sorts, from online casinos to events like the NFL Draft have gone from hardcore football nerd fare to gambler's dream weekend.
Here is everything you need to know about the ins and outs of betting on the NFL Draft.
No Drama in the #1 Pick
The years when there is two viable top of the draft options are always the best whether it is Peyton Manning vs Ryan Leaf or a more recent example like Jared Goff vs Carson Wentz.
LSU quarterback Joe Burrow is the odds-on favorite to be the number 1 overall pick whether it is by the or someone else who trades up for it. Burrow's odds are at -2200 to be the pick and the next closest player is Chase Young, the Ohio State defensive end at +1200.
The moral of the story here is to stay away from betting on the top pick this year.
Betting on Picks 2 -5
Following the NFL Draft combine, there have been whispers that the injured Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa with the second pick. While this still seems unlikely, there could also be a trade up for the banged-up signal-caller so betting on Tagovailoa at 2 could make you some money.
You can bet on these results in the form of over/ under draft position or via the money line if you think you can hit it exactly.
The Third Quarterback Off the Board
Where the first-round quarterback situation starts to get interesting is with the question, who will be the third QB to hear their name called? This debate is so heated right now that ESPN's two draft experts, Mel Kiper, Jr. and Todd McShay actually made a (for charity) on this question with their own money.
Positional Over/ Unders
This will likely keep your bet alive all the way until late in the round and if you put together or follow a solid mock draft, it could make you some good money.
Those huge, lavish casinos in the desert didn't build themselves. That said, there is some good value if you can identify the most or least in-demand position groups prior to the draft. In 2019, it was a very defensive heavy year with a lot of talent coming out on that side of the ball.
Because of this, OL, TE, WR, and QB all went under and RBs pushed at 1.
There should be 4 quarterbacks taken in the top 15 picks and it would be no surprise if a 5th or even a 6th came off the board at the end of the 1st. There should also be a significant run on offensive lineman in round 1.
This year will be a and they may see 5 or 6 of their fellow pass catchers all make it into the first. If you find a line that has OL, QB, or WR at 5 or under, take it for sure you will probably be safe taking up to 6 on these three positions.
Conclusion
Irrelevant, will be an offensive or defensive player. That will keep you invested to the bitter end.
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